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By Donald Hyndman, David Hyndman
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4. What factors influence how many fatalities result from a given disaster? 5. What are the three most deadly hazards in the United States? 6. What are the main reasons for the ever-increasing costs of catastrophic events? 7. Why are most natural events not perfectly cyclic, even though some processes that influence them are cyclic? 8. What is the difference between prediction and forecast? 9. Give an example of the domino effect in natural processes. 10. Give an example of a fractal system. 11.
Why are some of these mountains volcanoes that erupt molten rocks? What causes giant tsunami waves, and why do most originate near mountainous coastlines? Why are most devastating earthquakes near those same coastlines? Why do the opposite sides of the Atlantic Ocean look like they would match? (FIGURE 2-1) Giant areas of the upper part of Earth move around, grind sideways and collide, or sink into the hot interior of the planet, where they cause melting of rocks and formation of volcanoes. Those collisions between plates squeeze up and maintain high mountain ranges, even as landslides and rivers erode them away.
David Hyndman. FIGURE 1-10 RISKY DEVELOPMENT Some developers seem unconcerned with the hazards that may affect the property they sell. High spring runoff floods this proposed development site in Missoula, Montana. hazard considered in the light of its recurrence interval and expected costs (By the Numbers 1-2: Assessing Risk). The greater the hazard and the shorter its recurrence interval, the greater the risk. In most cases, a company can estimate the cost of a hazard event to a useful degree of accuracy, but its recurrence interval is hardly better than an inspired guess.