Download Playing against nature : integrating science and economics by Seth Stein PDF
By Seth Stein
Protecting society opposed to common dangers is a high-stakes online game of likelihood opposed to nature, regarding tricky judgements. How should still a constructing country allocate its finances among development colleges for cities with out ones or making present colleges earthquake-resistant? Does it make extra experience to construct levees to guard opposed to floods, or to avoid improvement within the components in danger? might extra lives be stored through making �Read more...
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Read or Download Playing against nature : integrating science and economics to mitigate natural hazards in an uncertain world PDF
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Additional resources for Playing against nature : integrating science and economics to mitigate natural hazards in an uncertain world
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Larger expected shaking corresponds to higher predicted seismic hazard. A similar approach was used to forecast the largest expected tsunami. Engineers, in turn, used the results to design tsunami defenses and build structures to survive earthquake shaking. All this planning proved inadequate on March 11, when a magnitude 9 earthquake offshore generated a huge tsunami that overtopped the sea walls. 5 quake that was expected for the Miyagi-oki region by the hazard mappers. Somehow, the mapping process significantly underpredicted the earthquake hazard.
Shimozono, H. Liu, F. Mohammed, V. Skanavis, C. E. Synolakis, and T. Takahashi, The 2011 Japan tsunami current velocity measurements from survivor videos at Kesennuma Bay using LiDAR, Geophys. Res. 1029/2011GL050686, 2012. Geller, R. , Shake-up time for Japanese seismology, Nature, 472, 407–409, 2011. , Genius: The Life and Science of Richard Feynman, Pantheon, New York, 1992. , F. Vos, R. Below, and S. Ponserre, Annual Disaster Statistical Review 2011, Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters, Brussels, 2012.
Published 2014 by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. com/go/stein/nature Nature Bats Last 39 harm – for the communities affected. This is embarrassing, but that is the way it is. We are trying to predict how complicated physical systems that we do not fully understand will behave in the future. Not surprisingly, we are often wrong. In this game, nature bats last and does not have to do what we think it should. As in the Shakespeare quotation, we often overestimate how well we can predict what nature will do.